Activists at the Stand for Congo Protest outside the Apple Store on London’s Regent Street, 2024. ALISDARE HICKSON / FLICKR.
the ministry of world affairs
The Prolonged Suffering of Eastern DRC
Activists at the Stand for Congo Protest outside the Apple Store on London’s Regent Street, 2024. ALISDARE HICKSON / FLICKR.
the ministry of world affairs
The Prolonged Suffering of Eastern DRC
The eastern portion of the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) has been the theatre of one of the world’s worst cases of recurrent violence since 1996. Persistent instability has brought about mass killings, forced displacements, loss of livelihoods, and large-scale violations of basic human rights. The DRC first descended into violent conflict in 1996 at the onset of the First Congo War (1996–1997); but the origins of instability began as early as the 1960s in post-independence Congo when questions of ‘autochtonie’, citizenship, and ethnicity became foundational political fault-lines.
In the 1990s, tens of thousands of Rwandan refugees began entering Congolese territory, including members of the former Rwandan Armed Forces (Forces Armées Rwandaises) and the infamous Interahamwe paramilitary group, who played a leading role in perpetrating the genocide that decimated the lives of between 800,000 to 1 million people in 1994. This exodus cemented the entwined destinies of Rwanda and the DRC, who have since become entangled in a complicated relationship that remains difficult to define, characterized by heated tensions between citizens and leaders of both nations. Today’s violence in the DRC—which saw a sharp escalation from February of this year—remains intimately tied to such regional configurations, including but not limited to Rwanda. Often these have been marked by ethnic cleavages brought out by the divide-and-rule policies of former colonial powers and now manipulated by contemporary political actors.
2024 marks three decades since the Rwandan genocide and will, on 15 July, see Rwanda’s President Paul Kagame pursue a fourth term in office, which would elongate his presidency to nearly 30 years. But it also marks three decades since the end of South Africa’s apartheid regime, an important juncture in the development of a more proactive regional presence in the DRC, crystallized today in the Southern African Development Community (SADC) Mission in the Democratic Republic of Congo (SAMIDRC), deployed in December 2023.
GENESIS OF INSTABILITY AND EVOLVING REGIONAL CONFIGURATIONS
Cyclical violence and abuse in the Congo initially began partly as an offshoot of spillover from the four-year civil war that erupted in Rwanda in October 1990. During this period, the then-rebel Rwandan Patriotic Front (RPF) and its armed wing launched its first attack against former Rwandan President Juvénal Habyarimana’s government and the Rwandan Armed Forces. On 6 April 1994, unknown gunmen shot down President Habyarimana’s plane while it was landing at Kigali International Airport. He was killed alongside his Burundian counterpart—President Cyprien Ntaryamira—together with several other officials and crew members. The shooting down of the plane carrying the Rwandan president is believed to have triggered the Rwandan Genocide. The Rwandan Genocide is believed to be one of the world’s fastest genocides and lasted 100 days—in which hundreds of thousands of people died, particularly the Tutsi minority and moderate Hutus. The RPF’s capture of Kigali in July 1994 drove members of the Rwandan interim government (under the leadership of President Théodore Sindikubwabo and Prime Minister Jean Kambanda), remnants of the regular army and Interahamwe militia, and around two million civilians, to the DRC.
Since this exodus, the Rwandan government has regarded former members of its armed forces with suspicion; engaging in intricate regional alliances featuring Uganda, Burundi and others, that have intersected in complex ways with the movements of over 120 armed groups in the DRC. The Rwandan government has notably actively supported rebel movements in North Kivu and Ituri to counter the capacities of the Democratic Forces for the Liberation of Rwanda (FDLR)—a Rwandan rebel movement fighting Kigali with an established rear base. Uganda has also perceivably been making incursions in the DRC while targeting the Allied Democratic Forces (ADF), a Ugandan rebel movement that seems to have pledged allegiance to ISIS and appears involved in local illicit economies and informal trans-border trade. The group has moreover been establishing military alliances in the Rwenzori region rebellions, which have deep-rooted historical grievances against President Yoweri Museveni’s regime. They also serve as a proxy armed group for regional rivalries and geopolitical agendas, including those of the Sudanese and Congolese governments against President Museveni’s administration for alleged support of the Sudan People’s Liberation Movement and the Alliance of Democratic Forces for the Liberation of Congo-Zaire. Two armed groups also originate from Burundi—the RED Tabara and National Forces of Liberation (Forces Nationales de Liberation)—who use eastern DRC as a safe haven and launch sporadic attacks against Burundian targets. The government of Burundi has resultantly concluded a bilateral agreement with Kinshasa enabling Burundian troops to conduct joint operations with the Armed Forces of the Democratic Republic of the Congo (Forces Armées de la République Démocratique du Congo) in Congolese territory.
Yet efforts to bring peace and stability have not yet yielded the expected results. The UN mission in the DRC has been present in the country since 1999, but has become increasingly unpopular 25 years after deployment and has been asked to withdraw by the close of 2024. Following the resurgence of the rebel group, M23, the East African Community—which the DRC joined in 2022—deployed a regional force with a mandate to support stabilization efforts and promoted a ceasefire. Yet conflicting interpretations of the regional force’s mandate only heightened tensions between Kinshasa and the regional bloc, leading the initiative to halt activity after just one year. Despite the formulation of a strategic framework to harmonize interventions, competing interests, institutional incoherence, and fragmentation among the cacophony of external actors continue to impede tangible progress. Most concerningly, the conflict in the DRC remains relatively low on the international agenda, with Ukraine and Gaza dominating attention.
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TRACING THE PROLONGED SUFFERING
Since 1996, violence in eastern DRC has claimed the lives of over six million people and driven millions more out of their livelihoods as internally displaced peoples or as refugees. According to the United Nations, ongoing fighting has resulted in the forced displacement of 7.3 million people in eastern provinces, who live in dire conditions and depend on humanitarian aid. Lack of access to clean water has additionally increased cases of cholera and other hygiene-related diseases. The incessant violence has obstructed the DRC’s ability to develop adequate infrastructure to address health problems such as cholera infection outbreaks, to allow people to move around for business, grow food, or to engage in production to meet their basic needs. As a consequence, the DRC remains among the poorest countries on the planet, despite its vast resources. Violence has also been accompanied by large-scale violations of human rights, with 12,600 cases of sexual abuse perpetrated against women and young girls, as well as men, in North Kivu alone between January and March 2024.
So why does such violence continue in seeming perpetuity? What are the internal forces underpinning such convoluted regional conflict dynamics? And what factors explain the deficiency and ineffectiveness of solutions to alleviate such suffering?
The answers to these questions are complex. A commonly cited factor is the DRC’s internal contradictions: notably, the disconnect between the central government and peripheral regions such as eastern DRC, which suffer from distinct neglect in development programming and funding. The Kinshasa administration has continuously been blamed for failing to play its role as a security guarantor. This centre-periphery disconnect has been magnified by the discordance between the vast Congolese territorial expanse and the dilapidated road and communications infrastructure, reinforced by fragmented and neglectful public authority structures. The DRC is additionally characterized by weak and ill-equipped political and administrative institutions, contributing to perceived voids in legitimate authority that enable the growth of illicit armed groups.
Despite the dominance of security issues in attracting formal regional interventions in the DRC, politico-economic motivations are central—particularly interests in accessing strategic minerals, which often shape the contours of regional and international diplomatic relations. Most external powers including China and the United States are principally interested in retaining influence in the country and region for this reason, yet regional actors are also notable investors. South Africa has, for example, invested heavily in the DRC’s mining sector and has shown interest in recent oil fields discovered in Ituri. Neighbouring Zambia has also recently concluded an agreement with the DRC to enhance cross-border trade, and formerly concluded a trilateral memorandum of agreement with the US in EV battery production. The DRC possesses 70 per cent of the world’s cobalt reserves, as well as tantalum, niobium, etc.—critical minerals for the production of electric vehicles, mobile phones, and other electronics. Competition around such interests often pushes players to support different sides in the conflict, further fuelling tensions and exacerbating instability and suffering.
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NIGERIA’S FEDERALISM: WHO BENEFITS MORE?
Nigeria’s federal system, established in 1999 after decades of military rule, divides power and resources between the federal government, including the Federal Capital Territory, and 36 states. This structure, while aiming to foster regional autonomy and development, has become a source of contention, particularly when it comes to issues like the minimum wage.
On one hand, fiscal federalism in Nigeria allows states some control over their economic destinies. They can prioritize spending on areas crucial for their development, such as agriculture in agrarian states or infrastructure in urban centres. This allows states to tailor policies to their specific needs and economic realities.
On the other hand, states do not enjoy true fiscal federalism as the federal government controls the bulk of national financial resources including payment for crude oil or other natural resources explored from these states. The federal government then gives out a statutory monthly allocation to state and local governments using a derivation formula.
The current federal system in Nigeria also creates significant disparities. Wealthier states, particularly those rich in oil resources, have greater financial autonomy and can afford a higher minimum wage for their workers due to the 13 per cent derivative fund. These states usually attract businesses and skilled labour, further widening the economic gap between them and non-oil-producing states. Furthermore, weaker states with limited tax bases struggle to meet their basic obligations, including paying a national minimum wage, hindering their ability to attract investment and improve living standards for their citizens. Hence, a single national minimum wage might not be the answer in a country as diverse as Nigeria.
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SO WHAT NEXT?
The suffering of innocent Congolese, particularly in the country’s eastern provinces, has endured for too long: from the first Congolese war in 1996, to the second in 1998, to the current insurgencies featuring over 120 armed groups. Deep reflection and interrogation of the motivations and drivers of all actors within this recurrent conflict is critical. Widespread despondency around the Congolese conflict is underpinned by a lack of coordinated and cohesive effort to end the violence as well as vested political and commercial interests by both internal and external players in perpetuating the conflict. This juncture is also a stark reminder of the consequences of international inertia in the Rwandan genocide, whose shockwaves are still felt thirty years later, including in the DRC.
Regional actors must play a more productive role to bring an end to this systemic tragedy. President João Lourenço of Angola has been active in leading mediation efforts between Rwanda and the DRC and it is expected that South Africa will continue to invest in enhancing the effectiveness of peace-keeping efforts such as SAMIDRC and build on previous peace-making efforts that led to pivotal accords such as the Sun City Agreement in 2003. The foreign policy of the fledgling government of national unity—30 years after the end of apartheid—will be important in determining the extent to which South Africa and the wider region remain engaged in the DRC. The DRC’s neighbours—particularly from the three regional blocs in eastern, southern, and central Africa of which the DRC is a member—should be empowered to play a more cohesive role in ending the protracted violence in this largely externally imposed war⎈
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